NASBP Focal Point - November 11, 2022

Three state legislatures, DC, and Congress are currently in session: NJ (Regular session) MA, (Informal session) and OH (Skeleton session)

Territories: Guam, Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands.

*Click here for a complete 2022 calendar of the states' legislative session dates.

2022 Midterm Election Results

  • Federal Election Results
  • Observations & Takeaways
  • U.S. Senate
  • U.S. House of Reps
  • State Election Results
  • Governor
  • Legislature
  • Ballot Measures

Federal Election Results

Observations/Takeaways--Perhaps Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) put it best when he said, "Definitely not a Republican wave, that’s for darn sure.” The challenge for Democrats for the midterms was defending a narrow 5-seat house majority with their President's approval rating in the low 40s coupled with congressional redistricting and surging consumer prices. Republicans currently have a slight majority in the U.S. House, which can be directly attributed to congressional redistricting, especially in Florida, where Governor Ron DeSantis's was able to add four House seats in Republican leaning districts. New York House Democrats suffered serve losses after the New York Court of Appeals' ruling struck down gerrymandered congressional maps, which ultimately lead to the defeat of several NY House members including the Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), Sean Patrick Maloney (NY-17). Voter turnout, particularly younger voters (Gen Z), surpassed expectations, who appeared to cast ballots on issues relating to the recent Dobbs' decision and environmental climate issues, which likely helped to mitigate further losses for House Democrats.

Control of U.S. Congress--TBD

U.S. Senate

As we go to press, the party makeup in the Senate stands at 49 Republicans, 48 Democrats. Two Senate races, AZ (Incumbent Senator Mark Kelly (D) vs. Blake Masters (R)) and NV (Incumbent Senator Catherine Cortez Masto (D) vs. Adam Laxalt (R)) are too close to call. Because neither GA Senate candidates, Incumbent Senator Raphael Warnock (D), or challenger Herschel Walker (R) failed to reach the necessary 50% vote threshold, a special run-off election will occur on Tuesday, December 6 to determine the winner.

U.S. House

As we go to press, the party makeup in the House currently stands at 211 for the Republicans, 200 for the Democrats with 24 House races still undecided. Republicans only need 8 seats to win the majority. Of those 24 undecided races, 10 favor the Democrats, 8 seats favor the Republicans, and 6 races are considered toss ups, according to the Cook Report. The Cook Report predicts the Republicans will win the House majority 222-213 and Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA-23) is poised to become the next Speaker. Next week House Republicans will gather for a series of leadership meetings. culminating with the announcement of House Committee Chairs the first week of December.

State Elections

State Elections

Voters in 46 states casts ballots on 6,279 state legislative races, 36 governor's races and 133 ballot measures. Below are a few highlights of high profile races. The National Governor's Association (NGA) and the National Conference of State Legislatures (NCSL) are excellent resources to check for election updates.

Governors' races

Thirty-six states and three territories, conducted elections where 31 incumbent Governors were eligible to seek re-election, while eight Governors were term-limited. As we go to press, Democrats were able to flip the Governors' Mansion in Massachusetts and Maryland. MA voters elected former Attorney General Maura Healey to become the Baystate's next Governor, while MD voters elected the state's first black governor, Wes Moore, who will take the reigns in Annapolis. Votes are still being counted to determine which candidate will become the next governor in AK (Incumbent Mike Dunleavy (R) vs. Les Gara (D)), in NV (Incumbent Governor Steve Sisolak (D) vs. Joe Lombardo (R)) and in AZ, (Kari Lake (R) vs. Katie Hobbs (D)).

State Legislatures--Ds make modest gains, Rs still control state houses

Democrats were able to flip the Michigan House and Senate, and the Minnesota and Pennsylvania Senate (and perhaps PA House--still waiting for final vote results). Republicans continue their dominance in Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, South Carolina, and the Wisconsin state legislatures by securing supermajorities in one or both chambers. Prior to the election, Republicans controlled 61 legislative chambers to the Democrats’ 37. The current party makeup in state legislature is 57 Republicans to 41 Democrats. Visit NCSL for an update of state legislatures.

State Ballot Measures 

In the states, voters were presented with 133 ballot measures on a range of high-profile issues such as marijuana, voting and abortion. There were three ballot measures of importance to NASBP approved by voters AL, NM and NY pertaining to infrastructure, according to the National Conference of State Legislatures (NCSL). Alabama voters said YES to local governments using funds from the American Rescue Plan Act for broadband internet infrastructure. New Mexico voters considered not just broadband infrastructure, but natural gas, electric, water and more when they approved a measure authorizing the legislature to provide funds for household services infrastructure. And New York voters passed a bond measure to fund water infrastructure, climate change mitigation and land conservation projects.

If you are aware of any bills impacting the industry, please reach out to Larry LeClair, NASBP's Director of Government Relations, and let us know.

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Focal Point is an e-bulletin sent to members and friends of the National Association of Surety Bond Producers when most state legislatures are in session and as needed thereafter. To obtain copies of Bills or other materials discussed above, contact advocacy@nasbp.org. Copyright © 2021. NASBP. All rights reserved.
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